Prediksi Produksi Air Minum dalam Kemasan Menggunakan Metode Fuzzy Sugeno Berdasarkan Permintaan Mingguan dan Stok Bahan Baku

Rahmadani Fitri Panjaitan; Riky Wirayuda; Khairul Shaleh

doi:10.61132/merkurius.v3i6.1231

Authors

Rahmadani Fitri Panjaitan Universitas Asahan
Riky Wirayuda Universitas Asahan
Khairul Shaleh Universitas Asahan

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.61132/merkurius.v3i6.1231

Keywords:

Bottled Water Production, Fuzzy Logic, Raw Material Stock, Request, Suggest

Abstract

Production quantity planning is a crucial component in the bottled water industry (AMDK) to ensure that consumer demand is met efficiently. Inaccuracies in determining the amount of production can lead to overproduction and supply shortages, which ultimately leads to increased operational costs and decreased customer satisfaction. This study applies the Sugeno fuzzy logic method to predict the amount of production based on two main variables, namely weekly demand and raw material stock. The analysis stages include the fuzzification process, the preparation of the rule base, inference using the zero-order Sugeno method, and defuzzification using the Weighted Average (WA) method. The data used is synthetic data that represents the operational conditions of the medium-scale bottled water industry. The results show that the Sugeno fuzzy system is able to produce production predictions that are adaptive and responsive to fluctuations in demand and stock availability. This model provides consistent and stable output, so it can help companies in determining the optimal production amount. These findings confirm that Sugino's fuzzy approach can be an effective decision support tool in bottled water production management, especially in the face of uncertainty and variability in market demand.

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